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Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave – NWSL Playoffs Prediction, Team News, Starting XI

Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave NWSL Preview Match Preview, H2H, Lineups & Prediction (1)

Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave in the 2025 NWSL Playoffs Quarterfinals on Sunday, November 9, 2025, at Providence Park, seeking to advance through their home-field advantage and unbeaten streak.

San Diego comes in on the back of consistent possession stats but is still searching for knockout-stage momentum; Portland, despite injuries and rotation, believes home advantage and recent form give them the edge.

The third-seeded Thorns showcase their championship experience and sharp finishing, led by star midfielder Olivia Moultrie. Meanwhile, the sixth-seeded San Diego, just a year past their title-winning season, comes in with Dudinha’s incredible form and an impressive record on the road.

This playoff rematch, following their two 1-1 draws in the regular season, promises a tightly contested, high-energy showdown between seasoned NWSL contenders.

Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave FC – Date, Time, Predictions, and More

The Thorns head into the quarterfinal at home after finishing 3rd in the standings, while the Wave earned the 6th-seed and travels to Providence Park, facing a familiar opponent.

Team Form & Recent Performance – Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave

Portland Thorns FC finished the 2025 regular season in 3rd place with 40 points from 26 matches (11 wins, 7 draws, 8 losses), securing their ninth consecutive playoff appearance.

Manager Mike Middamore has guided the Thorns to a season-ending unbeaten streak with 3 wins and 2 draws in their last 5 matches, culminating in an impressive 2-0 victory over Houston Dash that clinched home-field advantage.

Most notably, Olivia Moultrie, the 20-year-old American midfielder, finished as Portland’s top goal scorer with 8 goals in 26 appearances while becoming the NWSL’s highest-scoring teenager.

Moultrie recently extended her contract and played in all 26 regular-season games, starting 24 times and showing impressive consistency.

Midfielder Jessie Fleming added creative flair with 5 assists, while captain Sam Coffey contributed 4 assists, enhancing Portland’s offensive depth.

On defense, goalkeeper Mackenzie Arnold earned a spot on the NWSL Best XI, delivering crucial shot-stopping performances. At Providence Park, Portland has been dominant, losing just one of its last 8 home games, giving it a strong psychological edge in playoff action.

San Diego Wave FC finished the regular season in 6th place with 37 points from 26 matches (10 wins, 7 draws, 9 losses), earning their third playoff appearance in four seasons despite last year’s absence.

The Wave enters the playoffs riding an exceptional away form San Diego’s 6-4-2 away record represents one of the best road records in the NWSL, providing confidence despite a lower seeding. Most impressively, Brazilian forward Dudinha has emerged as a superstar since the summer transfer, scoring 5 goals in just 10 appearances and being named to the NWSL Best XI for October/November.

Dudinha has scored in three consecutive matches—a milestone previously achieved only by Alex Morgan and Jaedyn Shaw. French forward Delphine Cascarino provided 5 goals and 6 assists throughout the season, establishing herself as a creative force.

However, San Diego’s recent form has been inconsistent—the Wave won only 1 of their last 5 regular-season matches, and their 1-0 loss to Kansas City in the season finale deflated late-season momentum.

Most recently against Kansas City, Dudinha opened scoring at eight minutes before Kansas City equalized in the 54th minute and won 2-1, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities under pressure.

Last 5 Matches & Results Summary

TeamLast 5 MatchesWin–Draw–Loss Record
Portland Thornsvs Houston (W)
vs Racing Louisville (W)
vs Gotham (D)
vs Seattle (W)
vs Angel City (D)
3W–2D–0L
San Diego Wavevs Kansas City (L)
vs Houston (L)
vs Chicago (W)
vs Racing Louisville (D)
vs Utah (D)
1W–2D–2L

Head-to-Head Record – Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave

The historical rivalry between the Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave is remarkably balanced, with Portland holding a slight statistical edge.

In all-time NWSL encounters, Portland leads 5-4-4 (5 wins, 4 losses, 4 draws) across 13 meetings, though this margin has narrowed significantly in recent seasons. Most critically, San Diego has been unbeaten in their last four consecutive meetings across all competitions, including the two 1-1 draws in 2025 regular season (May 11 and September 20).

The tactical story is layered: Portland has traditionally excelled at Providence Park (5 home wins compared to San Diego’s 3), but San Diego’s recent form, especially their impressive away record (6 away wins in 2025), suggests the usual home advantage may be fading.

San Diego’s championship experience (2023 NWSL champions) and current upward trajectory create an intriguing narrative where playoff seeding might not dictate the outcome.

Overall All-Time Record (Since 2022)

MetricPortland ThornsSan Diego WaveDraws
Total Matches13
Wins544
Win %38%31%31%
Total Goals For1819

Recent Meetings (Last 5 H2H Encounters)

DateCompetitionMatchResultScore
20 Sep 2025NWSL Regular SeasonPortland vs San DiegoDraw1–1
11 May 2025NWSL Regular SeasonSan Diego vs PortlandDraw1–1
29 Sep 2024NWSL Regular SeasonSan Diego vs PortlandSan Diego Won2–0
19 Sep 2024Concacaf W Champions CupSan Diego vs PortlandSan Diego Won3–2
6 Jul 2024NWSL Regular SeasonPortland vs San DiegoPortland Won1–0

Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave Predicted Lineups

Based on current squad availability, recent tactical setups, and playoff form, here are the expected starting elevens:

Portland Thorns FC (4-2-3-1):

San Diego Wave FC (4-3-3):

Players to Watch – Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave

Portland Thorns FC Standout Performers

San Diego Wave FC Key Threats

Match Preview & Tactical Analysis

Portland Thorns will seek to exploit home-field advantage at Providence Park, where they’ve lost only once in their recent eight matches. Manager Mike Middamore will deploy a 4-2-3-1 formation, using Coffey and Hirst as midfield anchors while Moultrie operates as the primary attacking outlet.

The Thorns’ tactical approach emphasizes possession control through Fleming’s creative passes and quick transitions through Moultrie’s late runs. Portland’s unbeaten streak (3-2-0) provides psychological momentum, though the team must maintain defensive discipline against Dudinha’s explosive finishing.

San Diego Wave will attempt to neutralize Portland’s attacking threat through structured pressing and rapid counter-attacks.

The Wave’s tactical framework emphasizes Dudinha’s explosive movement combined with Cascarino’s creative support, seeking to exploit any Portland defensive vulnerabilities on transitions. San Diego’s exceptional away record (6 wins in 2025) suggests they possess tactical flexibility to perform in hostile environments.

Defensive solidity—particularly in central midfield through Rodriguez and Stengel’s positioning—will be critical for limiting Moultrie’s influence.

The key tactical battle centers on midfield control: Portland’s Fleming-Coffey-Moultrie trio must dominate possession while restricting San Diego’s counter-attacking outlets. San Diego’s success depends on maintaining defensive shape despite Portland’s technical superiority and exploiting Dudinha’s clinical finishing opportunities.

How to Watch Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave FC Live

Watch the Portland Thorns vs San Diego Wave NWSL Playoffs Quarterfinal live with these broadcasting options:

RegionBroadcasterKickoff Time
United StatesABC,  Paramount+3:00 PM ET / 12:00 PM PT
United KingdomESPN8:00 PM GMT
Europe (Germany)Streaming partners9:00 PM CET
CanadaCBS3:00 PM ET
AustraliaStreaming partners2:00 PM AEDT (Mon, Nov 10)
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