After a tense first leg at the Bernabéu on February 18, 2026, where Vinícius Júnior scored in the 82nd minute to give Real Madrid a narrow 2-1 lead, Bayern Munich will host the return leg at the Allianz Arena on February 25, 2026. Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid 2025-26 UEFA Champions League Quarter-Final Second Leg in front of the Allianz Arena, which has a total capacity of 75,024 fans.
The Bavarians dominated large spells in Madrid but were undone by clinical finishing from the Spanish champions, while Vincent Kompany’s side now rely on their formidable home record (unbeaten in 14 competitive games) and the return of key players like Harry Kane and Joshua Kimmich from minor knocks.
Real Madrid, who have won the last three H2H meetings, travel with confidence but face questions over the fitness of Dani Carvajal and the suspension risk for Aurélien Tchouaméni.
With Bayern unbeaten in their last eight home Champions League ties and Real Madrid winless in their last four visits to Munich, this Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid clash promises high drama as the German giants chase a famous comeback.
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid – Date, Time, Predictions, and More
The second leg of this UEFA Champions League quarter-final pits Bayern’s home firepower against Real Madrid’s counter-threat in a tie balanced on a knife-edge. Kickoff is on Wednesday, February 25, 2026, at 8:00 PM CET (2:00 PM ET / 11:00 AM PT) at Allianz Arena, Munich. USA, Canada, and Australian fans, it’s afternoon viewing—perfect for midweek drama.
Predictions favor a Bayern Munich 2-1 win (3-3 aggregate, Bayern advance on away goals or penalties), with odds at Bayern -110 (52% implied probability), draw +240 (29%), Real Madrid +250 (28%).
Over 2.5 goals at -105 aligns with the tie’s intensity and Bayern’s home scoring (2.8 per game). This Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid preview unpacks team news, live streams, and stats for your Champions League fix.
Team News and Analysis
Bayern Munich’s first-leg disappointment (1-2) highlighted finishing issues despite 58% possession, but their Allianz fortress (unbeaten in 14 competitive games) offers hope. Injuries: Harry Kane (minor knock, fit), Joshua Kimmich (back, probable), Kingsley Coman (hamstring, doubtful). Vincent Kompany’s 4-2-3-1 averages 62% possession and 18 shots per home game—set to overwhelm Real Madrid’s press.
Real Madrid’s narrow first-leg lead (2-1) showcased clinical finishing, but the trip to Munich brings concerns: Dani Carvajal (suspended), Aurélien Tchouaméni (suspension risk), and Éder Militão (knee, doubtful). Carlo Ancelotti’s 4-3-3 yields 1.6 goals away but concedes 1.2; press nets 11 turnovers, but low blocks challenge.
Analysis: Bayern’s home edge (unbeaten in 8 vs Real Madrid) vs. Real’s lead; injuries even midfield—expect Bayern pressure, with second-half subs decisive.
Player Performance: 2025/26 Champions League Stats
| Statistic | Harry Kane (Bayern) | Kylian Mbappé (Madrid) |
|---|---|---|
| Goals | 11 | 14 |
| Assists | 0 | 1 |
| Minutes Played | 766 | 822 |
| Goals Per Game | 1.10 | 1.40 |
| Shots on Target | 19 | 28 |
Head-to-Head Record
Real Madrid leads the recent with 3 wins from the last 6 to Bayern’s 2, plus 1 draw. Matches average 3.2 goals, overs in 70%.
All-time H2H
| Date | Competition | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2026 | UCL QF 1st Leg | Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern Munich | 2-1 |
| May 11, 2024 | Champions League | Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern Munich | 2-1 |
| Mar 19, 2023 | Champions League | Bayern Munich 1-1 Real Madrid | 1-1 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Champions League | Real Madrid 3-0 Bayern Munich | 3-0 |
| Feb 4, 2021 | Champions League | Bayern Munich 2-1 Real Madrid | 2-1 |
Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid Starting XI Lineups
| Position | Bayern Munich Starting XI vs Real Madrid (4-2-3-1) | Real Madrid starting XI Real Madrid (4-3-3) |
|---|---|---|
| Goalkeeper | Manuel Neuer | Andriy Lunin |
| Defenders | Josip Stanišić, Dayot Upamecano, Jonathan Tah, Konrad Laimer | Álvaro Carreras, Dean Huijsen, Antonio Rüdiger, Trent Alexander-Arnold |
| Midfielders | Joshua Kimmich, Aleksandar Pavlović | Federico Valverde, Jude Bellingham, Arda Güler, Thiago Pitarch |
| Forwards | Michael Olise, Serge Gnabry (or Jamal Musiala), Luis Díaz, Harry Kane | Vinícius Júnior, Kylian Mbappé |
- Kompany/Ancelotti briefings: Bayern Musiala central; Real Madrid Mbappé central. Subs: Goretzka (Bayern), Modrić (Real Madrid).
- Serge Gnabry is a doubt due to a knee issue
- Michael Olise and Joshua Kimmich return from suspension.
- Álvaro Arbeloa will be without Aurélien Tchouaméni due to suspension. Thibaut Courtois (thigh) and Rodrygo (ACL) remain sidelined.
Key Players
- Bayern Munich: Harry Kane – Striker’s clinical finishing (goals in recent) punishes defenses; hold-up unlocks Real Madrid’s backline.
- Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior – Winger’s dribbling and pace (first-leg goal) terrorize full-backs; threat on counters.
Match Prediction
Bayern Munich’s passionate home crowd and Kane’s decisive play overturned the deficit in a thrilling Champions League match, securing victory and aggregate progression through a strong second-half performance. Real Madrid threatened with counterattacks but ultimately yielded.
- Predicted score: Bayern Munich 2-1 Real Madrid (3-3 aggregate, Bayern advance on away goals or penalties).
Where to Watch Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid in USA, Canada, Australia, and Europe
Stream Bayern Munich vs Real Madrid live with these UEFA Champions League options:
- USA: Paramount+; FuboTV. Starts 2:00 PM ET.
- Canada: DAZN Canada. 2:00 PM ET kickoff.
- Australia: Paramount+ or beIN Sports. Begins 1:00 AM AEDT.
- Europe: TNT Sports; DAZN (Germany/Italy); beIN Sports (France/Spain).